Vansten’s guide is “ok”. And before any of the many people who got their start there jump on me for saying that:
It’s a good start, and for someone who is new to the forge and wants to start forging for high level, it contains a reliable method. It’s also a bit inefficient and expensive.
There is a wealth of knowledge there about forging and for the simpler stuff it’s great. In today’s game though people looking for low level farming tools don’t need such a complex and wasteful method.
Also to mention that people develop sort of different relationships to the methods available and the RNG. If you’re looking to get started forging in general this guide is a place to start but remember that it’s important to reach out and try other things once you start to understand what you’re doing.